Draft Almanac release · Independent analysis by CRWDHEALTH · Not endorsed by CHCF

Prices and payments

Hospital price research and payment measures

RAND compares commercial hospital prices with Medicare prices. The Office of Health Care Affordability (OHCA), part of the Department of Health Care Access and Information (HCAI), reports hospital net patient revenue (NPR) per adjusted unit. The two measures answer different questions and cover different periods and populations, so they are shown separately.

RAND Corporation · 2022 claims in the Round 5.1 study>300%

California commercial prices relative to Medicare

California was among the states where average commercial hospital prices exceeded 300% of Medicare prices in 2022.

All-study average
254%
Method
Actual private insurer allowed amounts divided by simulated Medicare payments for the same services at the same hospitals.
The public report supports the above-threshold California finding but does not supply a current service-level California rate file in this artifact. The study sample and claims period are 2020–2022 and are not the 2024 HCAI cohort.Open RAND source →
California HCAI Office of Health Care Affordability · 2023 hospital measurement296

Hospitals with a commercial inpatient measure

Facility-level payer measures are available for the core cohort; medians are published separately by payer and setting below.

Measure family
NPR per adjusted unit
Method
OHCA-reported net patient revenue divided by case-mix-adjusted discharges or intensity-adjusted visits.
Net patient revenue per adjusted unit is a spending/payment proxy, not a negotiated price for a standardized service. Facility distributions contain legitimate and potentially anomalous extremes; this summary uses medians and does not winsorize source values.Open OHCA source →

OHCA 2023 medians

Net patient revenue per adjusted unit, by payer

Values are medians across hospitals, which limits the effect of extreme reported values. Hospital-level rows are in the facility download.

Scroll horizontally to view every measure.

MeasureDenominatorHospitalsMedian NPR
Commercial / other third-party inpatient NPR per case-mix-adjusted dischargeinpatient CMAD296$22.1K
Medicare inpatient NPR per case-mix-adjusted dischargeinpatient CMAD294$10.7K
Medi-Cal inpatient NPR per case-mix-adjusted dischargeinpatient CMAD296$13.7K
Commercial / other third-party outpatient NPR per intensity-adjusted visitoutpatient intensity-adjusted visit274$223.1
Medicare outpatient NPR per intensity-adjusted visitoutpatient intensity-adjusted visit273$104
Medi-Cal outpatient NPR per intensity-adjusted visitoutpatient intensity-adjusted visit275$185.7

Peer-reviewed California studies

5 California hospital price studies

Each study covers a different payer, service, price concept and period, so the results are not pooled. The studies are historical and do not describe current prices.

Scroll horizontally to read each study’s method and limits.

StudyPeriodPopulation and price conceptDesignFindingLimitation
Melnick GA, Fonkych K. Inquiry. 2016;53:0046958016651555.Peer reviewed · DOI 10.1177/00469580166515552004-2013Commercial inpatient allowed payments from Blue Shield of California; about 230 hospitals in 2012California statewide hospital sample · Case-mix-adjusted allowed payment per inpatient admissionLongitudinal hospital analysis with regression adjustmentPrices per admission increased 76% across all hospitals. Adjusted prices increased 113% at hospitals in the two largest systems versus 70% at other hospitals; by 2012-2013 the large-system differential was $3,964 (25%).One commercial payer, nominal prices, historical period, and observational design; the study does not establish that system membership alone caused the differential.
Zhuang T, Shapiro LM, Baker LC, Kamal RN. Clin Orthop Relat Res. 2023;481(6):1061-1068.Peer reviewed · DOI 10.1097/CORR.0000000000002489March 2021 price files and 2021 CMS quality measuresPublic insurer-negotiated facility prices for total joint arthroplasty; 22 hospitals, 18 with complete quality dataOne large California health system · Payer-specific negotiated facility price for DRG 470Cross-sectional descriptive and correlation analysisAcross 18 hospitals, the overall mean negotiated price was $54,500 (SD $23,200); payer-type means ranged from about $20,300 for Medicaid to $78,800 for commercial out-of-network coverage. No tested price-quality correlation met the study's corrected significance threshold.Single system, one procedure, posted prices rather than claims-paid amounts, incomplete quality data, and cross-sectional associations.
Brodke DJ, Guo C, Aouad M, Brown TT, Bozic KJ. J Bone Joint Surg Am. 2019;101(24):2212-2218.Peer reviewed · DOI 10.2106/JBJS.19.004752009-2013; reference pricing began January 20112,023 CalPERS and 8,024 non-CalPERS total joint arthroplasty patientsCalifornia CalPERS and same-carrier comparison population · Insurer and patient payments for hospital total joint arthroplastyDifference-in-differences observational evaluationReference pricing was associated with a 19-percentage-point increase in lower-priced hospital selection and a $5,067 reduction in mean insurer payment, while mean patient out-of-pocket payment increased $1,991; most measured quality indicators did not change significantly.Employer PPO population, elective joint replacement, observational parallel-trends design, and policy effects are not a statewide hospital price level.
Robinson JC, Brown TT, Whaley C, Finlayson E. JAMA Intern Med. 2015;175(11):1783-1789.Peer reviewed · DOI 10.1001/jamainternmed.2015.45882009-2013; reference payment began January 201235,195 CalPERS colonoscopy episodes before/after and 258,616 Anthem comparison episodesCalifornia CalPERS and Anthem comparison population · Allowed price for colonoscopy across hospital outpatient departments and ambulatory surgery centersDifference-in-differences observational evaluationReference payment increased use of low-priced facilities by 17.6 percentage points and reduced adjusted price by 21.0%; CalPERS reported $7.0 million (28%) lower spending over two years, with no statistically significant complication change.Includes hospital and nonhospital sites, one purchaser and carrier, outpatient procedure only, and observational policy evaluation.
Farrell KS, Finocchio LJ, Trivedi AN, Mehrotra A. J Gen Intern Med. 2010;25(2):110-114.Peer reviewed · DOI 10.1007/s11606-009-1176-5Post-AB 1045 field experiment published 2010Written estimate requests for hysterectomy, cholecystectomy, or screening colonoscopy from a hypothetical uninsured patient353 California acute-care hospitals · Hospital-provided self-pay price estimateAudit studyOnly 28% of hospitals responded. Estimates varied from $3,500-$65,300 for hysterectomy, $2,700-$36,000 for cholecystectomy, and $350-$5,805 for colonoscopy; 75% of estimates exceeded the median California Medicare reimbursement.Estimates were often non-comparable, sometimes excluded physician fees, and do not represent negotiated insurer prices or actual paid claims.
Why the RAND and OHCA figures are not combined

The RAND and OHCA tracks differ in payer population, period, unit, and method. They are presented side by side and are never combined into one price index. Precise current service-level allowed prices require normalized hospital machine-readable files or claims data. Public CMS transparency files are free but need a separately scoped harvesting, normalization, and validation pipeline; HCAI HPD claims access is restricted and not required for this public-data Almanac.